Sunday, November 19, 2006

Asia Dekor ($0.160, 15 Dec 2006)

Asia Dekor ($0.160, 15 Dec 2006):

Breaking up from a symmetrical triangle? Possible near-term targets 0.18, 0.22.


Asia Dekor ($0.140, 17 Nov 2006):

AD has been range bounding for quite some time, but on 02 Nov, it suddenly shot up to $0.16 with 19m shares traded. The increased volume since then may suggest that there is renewed interest in AD:



Some trading ideas:

1. Undervalued Stock

• Closing price as at 14/11/2006 = S$0.14
• PER = 6.5 (Based on 1H-FY2007 EPS of RMB0.0534 (S$0.0107))
• Price/NAV per share = 0.8 (Based on NAV as at 30/9/2006 of RMB 0.8741 (S$0.175))
• Dividend yield = 3.14% (Based on the interim dividend of RMB0.011)

2. Strong & Positive Cashflow

• Major capital projects were completed over the past 2 years.
• EBITDA for 1H-FY2007 = RMB83.6 million

3. Proven Profit Track Record

• Strong revenue growth in 1H-FY2007
• Profit after tax stood at RMB47.3 million for 1H-FY2007


4. Strong Product Brand

• Power Dekor brand ranks 130th among China’s top 500 most valuable brands in 2006
• Power Dekor brand ranked 1st in China laminated floor sales for 8 consecutive years from 1998 to 2005



Background:
Asia Dekor Holdings Limited has been listed on the main board of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since November 1999. It is the largest producer and distributor of laminated floor and related products in China and is recognised as one of Asia's leading floor manufacturing companies. The Group operates a 45,000 sq m factory based in Shenzhen, China, with a current maximum production capacity of 16 million sq m of laminated floor products. Joined with a new business partner, the Group operates a nationwide distribution network and up to 31 March 2003, there are more than 700 outlets in operation. The major shareholder of the Company is Hi-Power Management Ltd, an investment holding company.

Historical EPS ($) 0.02390
Rolling EPS ($) 0.02428
NAV ($) 0.1805
Historical PE 5.858
Rolling PE 5.766
Price / NAV 0.776
Dividend ($) 0.00524452
Weeks High 0.215
Dividend Yield (%) 3.74652
Weeks Low 0.085
Market Cap (M) 124.816
Issued & Paid-up Shares c891,544,000

Friday, November 10, 2006

BioTreat Update ($0.515, 10 Nov 2006)

BioTreat Update ($0.515, 10 Nov 2006):

(1) Before that fateful plunge on 30 Aug 2006 (Circle):

Some bearish signs started to appear sometime in mid-August:

- The initial formation of a Death Cross
- Detiriorating Stochastics and William's %r


(2) Current conditions (Rounded Rectangle):

- There are too many unpleasant news (Textboxes with red titlebars)
- Price trending downwards
- All indicators are pointing down
- Possible support at $0.39 (Blue Lower Price Band Line in Chart 1)



Note: Click on picture for an enlarged view.



BioTreat ($0.845, 31 Aug 2006):

There are tell-tale signs of bearishness long before the plunge on 30 Aug 2006:

- Formation of the Death Cross on 17 Aug, indicating the start of the bearish downtrend (Circled, Chart 3 below)
- The Bearishness signal continued to rise (Chart 3)
- The Bullishness and other signals continued to fall (Charts 3, 6, 7 & 8)

Price Targets:

- DBS: $0.70, Sell
- CIMB: $1.11, Sell
- CitiGroup: Sell
- SIA Research: $0.79 (http://forum.shareinvestor.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=6755&d=1157076366)