Tuesday, May 04, 2010

CHINA ESSENCE GROUP LTD.


20100504: 0.300, +0.000, +0.00%

A little red flag was raised on 20100413 as shown below. It was followed by several negative indications with a breakdown in price below the support which had become the resistance. The current support is around 0.26:

Saturday, June 06, 2009

China fishery group limited (sgd)

20090619: Close 1.010, +0.015, +1.51%

Volume has declined and more indicators turned bearish since the last sell signal:




20090605: Close 1.130, +0.020, +1.80%

CFG's chart appears to be similar to many others, i.e., bottom out in March and look toppish since early June, except that it has an early sell signal (Chart 4):

Friday, June 05, 2009

China Milk

20090619: Close 0.435, +0.005, +1.16%

CM may weaken further in the coming weeks:




20090605: Close 0.480, +0.000, +0.00%

Weakness seen in various indicators, may slip below current support at 0.450:



Click on chart for details.

Monday, May 05, 2008

Synear

20090619: Close 0.225, +0.005, +2.27%

The weak support at 0.220 may be breahed in the coming week:




Synear ($0.515, 20080526):

Still no sign of recovering since the last sell signal:


Lifted by one-off Rmb14m tax reversal - by Ho Choon Seng CFA
(SYNF SP / SYFH.SI, UNDERPERFORM - Maintained, S$0.56 - Tgt. S$0.35, Food & beverages)

Core net profit of Rmb93.0m was in line with expectations, forming 29.9% of our FY08 core net profit estimate and 20.4% of consensus. Reported net profit was distorted by a one-off Rmb14m tax reversal relating to the dividend witholding tax wrongly provided for in 4Q07. Sales dropped 5.8% to Rmb678.4m, in line with management's earlier guidance of less than 10% decline. Margins were further squeezed to 26.8% compared to 34.3% in 1Q07 and 27.6% in 4Q07 due to sustained price pressures. Overall ASP of around Rmb8,400/tonne suggests that sales volume fell 23% yoy. With results in line with expectations, we keep our EPS estimates intact. The outlook continues to be murky with continuing price pressure and falling sales volume. Maintain Underperform with unchanged target price of S$0.35, still based on 6x CY09 P/E.


Synear ($0.57, 20080505):

Another stock with the "Pump and Dump" pattern, together with other bearish indicators:


Note: For the "Pump and Dump" pattern, please visit: http://intellination.blogspot.com/

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Charting of Popular Singapore Stocks

For Charting of Popular Singapore Stocks, please visit:

http://intellination.blogspot.com

Friday, April 18, 2008

BioTreat

BioTreat ($0.335, 20080425):

BT dropped another 13% since last update on 20080418 to all-time low at $0.335, with a weak support at 0.24, all indicators are extremely bearish:


BioTreat ($0.385, 20080418):

1. There had been lots of warning in the media and the net about this stock since the middle of last year;

2. On 20080410 it dropped from an intraday high of 0.55 to close at 0.495. Some early warning signals had started to appear;

3. Volume increases and a Sell signal appeared on 20080417 followed by more confirmation signals.

Since our last coverage on 20071019, its share price has dropped about 50%. Click on chart for details:



BioTreat ($0.775, 20071019):

Double-Sell signals with bearish indicators, with supports at 0.70 and 0.65:

Sunday, April 13, 2008

FTSE ST China Index

Similarity between FTSE ST China Index and Our Top10 Approach:

Our approach of monitoring S shares using the average of the top few best performaning China stocks gives rise to similar plot of the FTSE ST China Index (See Charts below).

The Yahoo Finance site provides plot of FTSE ST China Index only up to a maximum of 3 months whereas our approach gives a longer history, and it also generates the Total Trade which indicates the total amount of shares traded in dollars.


Saturday, March 29, 2008

S Shares

S Shares - Downward Resistance Likely (20080404)

S-Shares seem to have hit resistance and are likely to turn downward in near term:


S Shares - Is Downtrend Over? (20080328)

Notice that during the Uptrend, the sell-offs tappered off gradually before reaching the Peak, then followed by the Transition and the Downtrend. Similary, the Rallies during the Downtrend would have to tapper off gradually before reaching the Trough and the next Transition phase.

Judging from the current situation, the Downtrend is likely to continue for a while longer after the last rally.


Saturday, March 22, 2008

Beauty China

Beauty China ($0.745, 20080320):

Broke below support 0.80 after a long black (red) candlestick and the usual set of bearish indicators with the Double Sell signals (high lighted below). Judging from the strength and trend of the signals, there is still more downside to come, with support around 0.70. Click on chart for details:


By the way, Beauty China is currently the topmost bearish counter on the Top10 list, followed by Sinostar, DataCraft, China Oilfield, Lian Beng, China Sun, China XLX, China Sky, Ascott Residence and China Essence. Note that 7 of the 10 are S Shares:

News:

20080226: Beauty China - 4Q07 results lower than expectation due to higher distribution expenses and depreciation cost by Singapore Research Team

Beauty China released the 4Q07 results. Turnover increased 40.1% yoy to HK$211.3m, in line with our expectation. However, net profit just up 0.9% yoy to HK$39.6m. On the full year basis, net profit increased 20.1% yoy to HK$161.9m, 9% lower than our forecast and 5% below the market consensus.

The lower than expected net profit was mainly due to the high distribution cost and the other operating expenses. Distribution cost surged 54.9% yoy in 4Q07, mainly driven by increased A&P expenses and higher logistical cost. The depreciation of newly-acquired factory and the amortization of the land use rights lead the other operating expenses soared 131.6% yoy in 4Q07.

Friday, March 14, 2008

C&G

C&G ($0.265, 20080314):

Share price has dropped more than 50% in the last 4 months, and all indicators are still very weak:

1. Death Cross on 20080227 as early warning
2. Sell Signal on 20080304
3. Declining MFI
4. Declining RSI
5. Declining TRIX


C&G ($0.58, 20071109):

Turned bearish since early Oct, could be due to high oil prices. Weak support at 0.56:


Saturday, March 01, 2008

Synear

Synear ($0.46, 20080314):

It has continued to slide down along its downtrend channel with these bearish developments:

1. Sell calls from brokers
2. Breakdown gap with long black (red) candlestick
3. Three Black Crows candlesticks
4. All indicators have no sign of reversal yet

Possible support at 0.33 which is the lower price band.


Synear ($0.58, 20080307):

A new set of bearish signals has emerged: (1) Death Cross which appeared on 20080225 as an early warning signal; (2) Sell signal on 20080226 and (3) Declining MFI, RSI and TRIX.



Synear ($0.68, 20080229):

Despite the rebound from 0.64 to 0.68 on last Friday (20080229), all its indicators are still very weak. It is currently in a downtrend channel started some 4 months ago. Possible to break below current support at 0.61:


Saturday, January 12, 2008

SunShine

SunShine ($0.25, 20081111):

Tested and broke below two important supports at 0.365 and 0.29, now may test the next level at 0.23. Excellent buy-in opportunities existed around last September and sell-off after the double sell signals appeared in November (blue and red arrows respectively). As off now, all indicators look bearish:


Saturday, January 05, 2008

China PowerPlus

China PowerPlus ($0.23, 20080104):

It has been on a downtrend since Mid June, 2007, down from a high of 0.445 to the current low at 0.230 with thin volume. Most indicators are still bearish now as highlighted. Could be a good long-term investment to consider if dips further to the lower 0.20 range:



Friday, January 04, 2008

Sino TechFibre

Sino TechFibre ($0.70, 20080111):

Since the last sell signal (Chart 4), share price continued to fall and broke below the Lower Price Band (Chart 1) with increased volume (Chart2). All indicators are extremely bearish:


Sino TechFibre ($0.885, 20080104):

Closed with 52-week low. Price action and all indicators are very bearish:


Sino TechFibre ($1.27, 20071019):

Price crossed into the lower price band and touched the lower price line which served as a good support on last Friday. A sell signal had appeared recently and with the rapidly deteriorating indciators, it is expected to dip further below the support at 1.24 in the coming weeks:

Sunday, November 18, 2007

China Stocks

China Stocks (20071116):

All three groups are still in their downtrends - China stocks, China hot stocks (a subset) and the China Pharma stocks. Their total trades are also far below those done in October:

Saturday, November 10, 2007

China Pharma

China Pharma (20071109):

This group has been making lower highs and lower lows since the beginning of Oct, and is likely to trend down another 10% before finding its base:


C&G

C&G ($0.58, 20071109):

Turned bearish since early Oct, could be due to high oil prices. Weak support at 0.56:


SinoStar

SinoStar ($0.655, 20071109):

Most of the indicators are not yet available as it was just IPOed recently. However, a bearish signal was issued around Mid Oct (Chart 3) and subsequently it gapped down twice and a Doji star appeared on last closing. Likely to stay below the lower price band for the near term.

Its third-quarter net profit dropped by 40% to to RMB15.2m (S$2.9m), dragged down by lower profit margin and higher expenses.

News:
Sinostar Pec Holdings – Posted a 40.2% drop in third-quarter net profit to RMB15.2m (S$2.9m), dragged down by lower profit margin and higher expenses. The profit drop came despite a 30.6% jump in revenue to RMB327.4m. The bulk of the revenue came from LPG sales, which rose 31.7% to RMB184.6m. This was possible due to higher capacity, brought about by the acquisition of an additional 250,000 ton gas fractionation facility last year. Sinostar's LPG products also saw higher average selling price and sales volume during the three months ended Sept 30. The group's propylene products, however, suffered a drop in average selling price. Basic 3Q07 EPS came to 2.36 fen, from 5.20 fen in Q3 last year. Net asset value stood at 70.7 fen per share as of Sept 30, from 13.6 fen as of end of last year. Notwithstanding the lower 3Q profit, Sinostar's 9M07 net profit came to RMB70.1m, a 46.3% gain from the previous year. Revenue for three quarters to date went up 42.3% to RMB848.2m

Sunday, October 28, 2007

Sinopipe

Sinopipe ($0.525, 20071026):

Has a good run up since the last set of Buy signals (blue arrow), now it is retreating after forming the Double-top pattern. Supports at around $0.43 to 0.45:

Saturday, October 27, 2007

Delong

Delong ($3.020, 2001026):

Profit warning was issued, followed by sell signals and bearish indicators. Price attempted to stay above the central price line but broke down and stayed in the lower price band: